Fertility Transition: Southeast Asia

نویسنده

  • J. Cleland
چکیده

Figure 1 Countries of Southeast Asia than Europe’s (786 million vs. 628 million, United Nations 1999, pp. 442–3). This dramatic reversal is the product of a lag, of about a century, in the demographic transitions of the two regions. Fertility began to decline in several northwestern Europe countries during the last quarter of the nineteenth century and spread to all of Europe over the first half of the twentieth century. Fertility in Southeast Asia first showed signs of decline in a few countries in the late 1960s, and then moved downward, at varying speeds, throughout the region from the 1970s to the 1990s. Although fertility in Southeast Asia is likely to approach the replacement level (around two births per woman) early in the twenty-first century, the force of demographic momentum and the power of compound rates of growth will continue to expand the population of Southeast Asia relative to Europe (and North America). Southeast Asia consists of the 11 countries that lie between the Indian subcontinent and China (see Fig. 1). While there are common geographical, historical,

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تاریخ انتشار 2001